June 2024 M&A Market Update

Chris Ray • 29 July 2024

Key trends and insights

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As we progress through 2024, it’s essential for UK SME business owners to stay informed about the latest trends and insights in mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Understanding these dynamics helps in strategic planning and positions your business to capitalise on emerging opportunities. This update provides a comprehensive overview of the current M&A landscape, based on the latest data and intelligence from MarkToMarket.


All data and insights in this article are sourced from MarkToMarket.


Deal Volumes and Market Trends

There has been a noticeable decline in deal volumes in recent months. In June 2024, only 282 deals have been reported so far, indicating a significant decrease in activity. The M&A market saw a peak in activity with 466 reported deals in June 2023. This downward trend could be attributed to several factors, including economic uncertainty and rising interest rates. We are aware of transactions taking longer to complete as buyers undertake more diligence on their targets, and waiting for more trading performance to be proven before committing to an acquisition.


Key Financial Metrics: Averages and Trends

Examining the financial metrics of recent deals provides a clearer picture of current market conditions:


  • Revenue Multiples: The mean revenue multiple stands at 3.1 (up from 2.5 the previous year), with a median of 2.3 (up from 2.1). This indicates a general upward trend in revenue multiples paid.
  • EBITDA Multiples: The mean EBITDA multiple is 11.9 (slightly up from 11.6), with a median of 12.0 (up significantly from 7.3). This suggests that businesses with stable cash flows are attracting higher valuations.


Deal Size and Market Confidence

In June 2024, the total deal value of all deals was £16 billion, with a mean deal size of £712.3 million and a median of £144 million. This shows a decrease in average deal size, reflecting more cautious investment strategies. However, confidence levels have risen above 50%, indicating a more optimistic outlook among market participants.


Notable Anomalies

While high multiples are prevalent, some deals stand out for their more conservative valuations. For instance, Clearly Drinks, a bottling company, was sold for £15 million to Supreme at an EBITDA multiple of 5x. Such deals highlight that not all transactions are subject to the high valuations seen in other sectors.


Recent Major Deals: A Snapshot

The past month has witnessed some notable M&A transactions that highlight current market conditions:


  1. Hargreaves Lansdown: agreed to be acquired for £5.4 billion by a private equity consortium led by CVC Capital Partners. The deal is valued at 13.51x EBITDA and 7.35x revenue. This transaction underlines the high valuation multiples being achieved in the financial services sector.
  2. CP Kelso: This £1.4 billion deal, with multiples of 13.74x EBITDA and 2.33x revenue, reflects the robust investor interest in the industrial foods sector as it was sold to Tate & Lyle.
  3. Superstruct Entertainment: Acquired for £1.1 billion at an astounding 88x EBITDA by KKR, this deal in the entertainment sector demonstrates the premium valuations for businesses with strong growth potential and unique market positions.


Market Sentiment and Future Expectations

Insights from recent seminars and polls conducted by MarkToMarket shed light on market sentiment and expectations:


  • Deal Numbers: 65% of industry professionals anticipate an increase in deal numbers over the coming year, while 30% expect them to remain stable.
  • Valuation Multiples: The direction of travel for multiples shows mixed expectations, with 21% predicting increases, 67% expecting no change, and 21% foreseeing decreases.


Conclusion

Staying informed about the latest trends in M&A is crucial for business owners looking to navigate the current market landscape. The recent decrease in deal volumes, coupled with fluctuating confidence levels, suggests a period of cautious optimism. Understanding these dynamics can help businesses better position themselves for future opportunities.


Self-Test Questions


  1. How does your business compare to the recent deal multiples in your sector?
  2. Does the recent change in UK government and a risk of increase in capital gains tax affect your thinking?
  3. What steps can you take to enhance your business’s valuation?
  4. How can you leverage current market sentiment to your advantage in strategic planning?


Ready to discuss how these trends impact your business strategy? Contact Branta today to explore tailored advisory services that align with your growth objectives.

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